Confronting the Crisis - Its Impact on the ICT Industry - February 2009
Table of Contents
Acknowledgements
Message from the ITU Secretary-General
1. Executive Summary
Key Findings
Immediate Impact
Information and Communication Technologies
Investing in the Future
2. A Story of Crash, Crunch and Crisis
2.1 Origins
And the Culprit is...
Percentage change in real GDP in high-income and developing countries, 1980-2010
Insight 1: Is This Crisis Any Different?
2.2 A Gloomy Economic Outlook
Insight 2: Will ICT-Producing Economies be Spared from the Economic Downturn?
Real GDP Growth for OECD and ICT-producing Economies,
Box 1: News and Views from the Corporate Sector
3. Prospects and Challenges for the Global ICT Industry
Insight 3: Challenging Times for the Tech Sector
Insight 4: Crises and Creative Destruction
4. Impact of the Financial Crisis
4.1 Investment and Financing
Slowdown in Telecom Carriers Capex, 2003-2013
Insight 5: Capex is Safe, At Least for Now
Insight 6: The Impact of the Crisis on Foreign Investment in Telecommunications
4.2 How Will Consumer Demand Respond?
Insight 7: Economic Downturn Exacerbates Fixed-Mobile Substitution
Insight 8: Key Trends Driven by the Crisis
4.3 Telco Strategies
Insight 9: Telcos in Transformation
Growth of Flat-rate Pricing Strategies for Broadband Internet, 2004-2008
4.4 Regulation
The Rise of Regulation and Competition
Competition in Selected Services, Globally, 2007
Insight 10: Impact of Current Economic Uncertainty on Regulation in the UK
4.5 Eco-ICTs
Insight 11: Saving Money is as Important as Saving the Planet
4.6 WSIS Targets and Connecting the Next Billion
Growth in Worldwide Mobile Subscribers, 2000-2008
5. Technologies
5.1 Mobile Telephony
Insight 12: Trends In Mobile Business
Insight 13: Outlook for The Mobile World
Insight 14: Limited Impact on Mobile Communications in Developing Countries
Insight 15: How Mobile Investment Can Lead the World out of Financial Crisis
5.2 WiMAX and Long Term Evolution (LTE)
Insight 16: How Does the Crisis Impact WiMAX and LTE Ecosystems?
Insight 17: Growth Despite Adversity - Limited Impact on WiMAX Network Deployments
5.3 Broadband Internet and NGN
Growth in the Global Market for Internet, 2002-2008 (ITU)
Insight 18: Prospects for Broadband in the Recession
5.4 Satellite Technologies
Insight 19: The Impact of the Financial Crisis on the Satellite Industry
6. Conclusion: Investing in the Future
Appendix 1: Notification of Number of Satellite Filings per Administration, 2007-2008
Appendix 2: Coordination Requests of Number of Satellite Filings per Administration, 2007-2008
List of Abbreviations and Acronyms